What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for N Swarbrick →•View All Referees for Swindon →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

N SwarbrickvsSwindon

Analysis based on 10 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When N Swarbrick officiates Swindon matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 10 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Swindon achieves a 20% win rate under N Swarbrick, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 25.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-25.0%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -25.0%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 10 matches, Swindon has won 25 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when N Swarbrick is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-25.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

10 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
8 Oct 2016	Bolton(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
7 Apr 2015	Bristol City(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 3	League One
15 Jan 2011	Yeovil(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟥 1	League One
12 Apr 2010	Exeter(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
25 Apr 2009	Bristol Rvs(H)	2 - 1	WIN	—	League One
13 Dec 2008	Crewe(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
12 Jan 2008	Walsall(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
14 Oct 2006	Grimsby(H)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
11 Apr 2006	Swansea(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
2 Jan 2006	Hartlepool(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)20.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-25.0%

Cards for Swindon

🟨 Yellows / Game1.40

🟥 Reds / Game0.30

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.30

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.3 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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