What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for N Swarbrick →•View All Referees for Chesterfield →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

N SwarbrickvsChesterfield

Analysis based on 8 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When N Swarbrick officiates Chesterfield matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 8 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Chesterfield achieves a 75% win rate under N Swarbrick, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 30.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+30.0%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +30.0%, Chesterfield has historically performed 30 percentage points better under N Swarbrick than their average. This favorable pattern across 8 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+30.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

8 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
9 Apr 2016	Barnsley(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
23 Oct 2010	Shrewsbury(H)	4 - 3	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
31 Oct 2009	Barnet(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
31 Jan 2009	Notts County(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
23 Aug 2008	Grimsby(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	League Two
13 Feb 2008	Peterboro(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
23 Sept 2006	Brentford(H)	3 - 1	WIN	—	League One
4 Feb 2006	Gillingham(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)75.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+30.0%

Cards for Chesterfield

🟨 Yellows / Game1.25

🟥 Reds / Game0.25

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.38

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.13

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.25 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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