What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for N Swarbrick →•View All Referees for Carlisle →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

N SwarbrickvsCarlisle

Analysis based on 9 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When N Swarbrick officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 9 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 66.7% win rate under N Swarbrick, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 21.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+21.7%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +21.7%, Carlisle has historically performed 22 percentage points better under N Swarbrick than their average. This favorable pattern across 9 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+21.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

9 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
15 Mar 2011	Plymouth(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	League One
23 Nov 2010	Rochdale(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
2 Apr 2010	Bristol Rvs(H)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	League One
2 May 2009	Millwall(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League One
24 Mar 2008	Northampton(H)	2 - 0	WIN	—	League One
30 Mar 2007	Tranmere(A)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
3 Sept 2006	Cheltenham(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League One
7 Jan 2006	Bury(H)	4 - 0	WIN	—	League Two
24 Sept 2005	Leyton Orient(H)	2 - 3	LOSS	—	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)66.7%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+21.7%

Cards for Carlisle

🟨 Yellows / Game0.89

🟥 Reds / Game0.22

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.11

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.11

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.22 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.