L SmithvsWatford
Analysis based on 4 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When L Smith officiates Watford matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 4 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Watford achieves a 75% win rate under L Smith, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 30.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
✅ FAVORABLE RECORD
This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.
Favorable Pattern Detected
With a bias score of +30.0%, Watford has historically performed 30 percentage points better under L Smith than their average. This favorable pattern across 4 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
4 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Birmingham(H) | 3 - 0 | WIN | Watford: 🟨 1 Birmingham: 🟨 2 | Championship |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Oxford(H) | 2 - 1 | WIN | Watford: 🟨 3 Oxford: 🟨 4 | Championship |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Norwich(H) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | Watford: 🟨 3🟥 1 Norwich: — | Championship |
| 8 May 2023 | Stoke(H) | 2 - 0 | WIN | Watford: — Stoke: 🟨 2 | Championship |
When L Smith officiates Watford matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 4 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Watford achieves a 75% win rate under L Smith, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 30.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Watford
Cards for Opponents
Betting Outlook
TIPSTER INSIGHTRED CARD RISK
Red card frequency: 0.25 per game
Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.
⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.
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