J SimpsonvsCarlisle
Analysis based on 6 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When J Simpson officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 6 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 16.7% win rate under J Simpson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 28.3 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED
This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.
Notable Negative Pattern
With a bias score of -28.3%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 6 matches, Carlisle has won 28 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when J Simpson is appointed.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
6 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Colchester(H) | 0 - 0 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Colchester: 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Oxford(A) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 4 Oxford: — | League One |
| 7 Sept 2019 | Exeter(H) | 1 - 3 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Exeter: — | League Two |
| 16 Feb 2016 | Accrington(A) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 2🟥 1 Accrington: 🟨 2🟥 1 | League Two |
| 27 Sept 2014 | Tranmere(H) | 1 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Tranmere: 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 3 Aug 2013 | Leyton Orient(H) | 1 - 5 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 2🟥 1 Leyton Orient: 🟨 2 | League One |
When J Simpson officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 6 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 16.7% win rate under J Simpson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 28.3 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Carlisle
Cards for Opponents
Betting Outlook
TIPSTER INSIGHTRED CARD RISK
Red card frequency: 0.33 per game
Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.
⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.
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