G WardvsCarlisle
Analysis based on 7 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When G Ward officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 7 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 28.6% win rate under G Ward, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 16.4 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED
This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.
Notable Negative Pattern
With a bias score of -16.4%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 7 matches, Carlisle has won 16 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when G Ward is appointed.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
7 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2016 | Crawley Town(A) | 1 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Crawley Town: 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 28 Mar 2015 | Oxford(A) | 1 - 2 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 1🟥 1 Oxford: 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 23 Aug 2013 | Colchester(A) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 4 Colchester: — | League One |
| 27 Aug 2010 | Colchester(A) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Colchester: 🟨 2 | League One |
| 24 Nov 2009 | Milton Keynes Dons(A) | 4 - 3 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 3🟥 1 Milton Keynes Dons: 🟨 1 | League One |
| 29 Mar 2008 | Gillingham(A) | 0 - 0 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Gillingham: 🟨 1 | League One |
| 6 Nov 2007 | Luton(A) | 0 - 0 | DRAW | Carlisle: — Luton: 🟨 1 | League One |
When G Ward officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 7 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 28.6% win rate under G Ward, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 16.4 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Carlisle
Cards for Opponents
Betting Outlook
TIPSTER INSIGHTRED CARD RISK
Red card frequency: 0.29 per game
Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.
⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.
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