B TonervsCarlisle
Analysis based on 15 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When B Toner officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 15 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 66.7% win rate under B Toner, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 21.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
✅ FAVORABLE RECORD
This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.
Favorable Pattern Detected
With a bias score of +21.7%, Carlisle has historically performed 22 percentage points better under B Toner than their average. This favorable pattern across 15 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
15 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Morecambe(A) | 2 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Morecambe: 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Derby(A) | 0 - 2 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Derby: — | League One |
| 2 Sept 2023 | Shrewsbury(H) | 2 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Shrewsbury: 🟨 4 | League One |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Mansfield(H) | 0 - 4 | LOSS | Carlisle: 🟨 3 Mansfield: 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Scunthorpe(A) | 1 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Scunthorpe: 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 3 Oct 2020 | Barrow(H) | 1 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 3🟥 1 Barrow: 🟨 4 | League Two |
| 29 Dec 2019 | Walsall(A) | 2 - 1 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Walsall: 🟨 1🟥 1 | League Two |
| 9 Mar 2019 | Swindon(H) | 2 - 1 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Swindon: 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Morecambe(A) | 2 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Morecambe: 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 21 Aug 2018 | Port Vale(H) | 2 - 1 | WIN | Carlisle: — Port Vale: 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 28 Apr 2018 | Port Vale(A) | 2 - 1 | WIN | Carlisle: 🟨 1 Port Vale: —🟥 1 | League Two |
| 11 Nov 2017 | Yeovil(H) | 4 - 0 | WIN | Carlisle: — Yeovil: 🟨 2🟥 1 | League Two |
| 17 Apr 2017 | Stevenage(H) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Stevenage: 🟨 5 | League Two |
| 10 Sept 2016 | Leyton Orient(H) | 2 - 2 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 2 Leyton Orient: 🟨 3 | League Two |
| 16 Apr 2016 | Cambridge(A) | 0 - 0 | DRAW | Carlisle: 🟨 3🟥 2 Cambridge: 🟨 2 | League Two |
When B Toner officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 15 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 66.7% win rate under B Toner, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 21.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Carlisle
Cards for Opponents
Betting Outlook
TIPSTER INSIGHTRED CARD RISK
Red card frequency: 0.2 per game
Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.
⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.
Share This Analysis
Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.