What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for T Kettle →•View All Referees for Swindon →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

T KettlevsSwindon

Analysis based on 15 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When T Kettle officiates Swindon matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 15 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Swindon achieves a 13.3% win rate under T Kettle, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 31.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-31.7%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -31.7%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 15 matches, Swindon has won 32 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when T Kettle is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-31.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

15 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
30 Jan 2021	Hull(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
24 Aug 2019	Cheltenham(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
29 Dec 2018	Mansfield(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two
1 Sept 2018	Milton Keynes Dons(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
10 Apr 2018	Yeovil(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
21 Jan 2017	Peterboro(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
23 Apr 2016	Chesterfield(H)	1 - 0	WIN	—	League One
23 Jan 2016	Sheffield United(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
15 Mar 2014	Bristol City(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 3🟥 1	League One
25 Jan 2014	Shrewsbury(H)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League One
23 Oct 2010	Leyton Orient(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟥 1	League One
17 Oct 2009	Hartlepool(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	—	League One
3 Sept 2005	Walsall(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 3	League One
11 Sept 2004	Peterboro(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
25 Oct 2003	Port Vale(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)13.3%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-31.7%

Cards for Swindon

🟨 Yellows / Game1.40

🟥 Reds / Game0.20

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.67

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.07

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.2 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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