What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for T Kettle →•View All Referees for Northampton →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

T KettlevsNorthampton

Analysis based on 18 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When T Kettle officiates Northampton matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 18 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Northampton achieves a 27.8% win rate under T Kettle, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 17.2 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-17.2%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -17.2%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 18 matches, Northampton has won 17 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when T Kettle is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-17.2%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

18 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
14 Aug 2021	Colchester(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3🟥 1	League Two
27 Oct 2020	Portsmouth(A)	0 - 4	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
1 Jan 2020	Stevenage(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 4	League Two
12 Oct 2019	Scunthorpe(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟥 1	League Two
24 Nov 2018	Grimsby(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	—	League Two
29 Sept 2018	Mansfield(A)	0 - 4	LOSS	🟨 3	League Two
14 Apr 2018	Bury(A)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 1	League One
30 Sept 2017	Rotherham(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
22 Oct 2016	Shrewsbury(A)	4 - 2	WIN	🟨 4	League One
14 Nov 2014	Cambridge(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	—	League Two
2 Nov 2013	Plymouth(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
5 Mar 2011	Shrewsbury(H)	2 - 3	LOSS	—	League Two
15 Jan 2011	Gillingham(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
27 Feb 2010	Cheltenham(H)	2 - 1	WIN	—	League Two
24 Feb 2009	Brighton(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
8 Dec 2007	Carlisle(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 3	League One
31 Jan 2006	Wycombe(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	—	League Two
5 Sept 2003	Cheltenham(A)	3 - 4	LOSS	🟨 3	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)27.8%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-17.2%

Cards for Northampton

🟨 Yellows / Game1.56

🟥 Reds / Game0.17

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.78

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.11

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.17 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.