What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for S Purkiss →•View All Referees for Cheltenham →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

S PurkissvsCheltenham

Analysis based on 9 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When S Purkiss officiates Cheltenham matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 9 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Cheltenham achieves a 66.7% win rate under S Purkiss, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 21.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+21.7%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +21.7%, Cheltenham has historically performed 22 percentage points better under S Purkiss than their average. This favorable pattern across 9 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+21.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

9 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
17 Feb 2024	Port Vale(H)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 1	League One
3 Oct 2023	Fleetwood Town(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
29 Dec 2022	Shrewsbury(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 4🟥 1	League One
1 Feb 2022	AFC Wimbledon(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 3	League One
16 Apr 2021	Crawley Town(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
21 Nov 2020	Walsall(H)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
29 Feb 2020	Colchester(A)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
7 Dec 2019	Mansfield(A)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	League Two
17 Sept 2019	Bradford(H)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)66.7%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+21.7%

Cards for Cheltenham

🟨 Yellows / Game2.00

🟥 Reds / Game0.22

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game2.89

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.22

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.22 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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