What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for S Duncan →•View All Referees for Nott'm Forest →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

S DuncanvsNott'm Forest

Analysis based on 13 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When S Duncan officiates Nott'm Forest matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 13 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Nott'm Forest achieves a 23.1% win rate under S Duncan, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 21.9 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-21.9%

Matches Analyzed

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Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -21.9%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 13 matches, Nott'm Forest has won 22 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when S Duncan is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-21.9%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

13 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
19 Jul 2020	Barnsley(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	Championship
27 Apr 2019	QPR(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	Championship
3 Nov 2018	Sheffield United(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	Championship
15 Sept 2018	Swansea(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 3	Championship
6 May 2018	Bolton(A)	2 - 3	LOSS	🟨 4	Championship
30 Mar 2018	Millwall(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3	Championship
23 Dec 2017	Preston(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 4	Championship
26 Sept 2017	Fulham(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	Championship
11 Feb 2017	Norwich(A)	1 - 5	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	Championship
1 Oct 2016	Bristol City(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	Championship
6 Feb 2016	Leeds(A)	1 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
26 Dec 2014	Middlesbrough(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
8 Apr 2014	Sheffield Weds(H)	3 - 3	DRAW	🟨 3🟥 1	Championship

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)23.1%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-21.9%

Cards for Nott'm Forest

🟨 Yellows / Game2.31

🟥 Reds / Game0.23

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.38

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.23 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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