R MadleyvsWatford
Analysis based on 17 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When R Madley officiates Watford matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 17 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Watford achieves a 17.6% win rate under R Madley, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 27.4 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED
This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.
Notable Negative Pattern
With a bias score of -27.4%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 17 matches, Watford has won 27 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when R Madley is appointed.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
17 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Sheffield United(A) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | West Brom(A) | 1 - 2 | LOSS | 🟨 2 | Championship |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Oxford(A) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | 🟨 1🟥 1 | Championship |
| 14 Sept 2024 | Coventry(H) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | 🟨 2 | Championship |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Coventry(H) | 1 - 2 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | Championship |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Plymouth(A) | 3 - 3 | DRAW | 🟨 3 | Championship |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Luton(H) | 4 - 0 | WIN | 🟨 3 | Championship |
| 8 Oct 2022 | Blackpool(A) | 1 - 3 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | Championship |
| 17 Sept 2022 | Sunderland(H) | 2 - 2 | DRAW | — | Championship |
| 22 Apr 2017 | Hull(A) | 0 - 2 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | Premier League |
| 11 Feb 2017 | Man United(A) | 0 - 2 | LOSS | — | Premier League |
| 17 Dec 2016 | Sunderland(A) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | 🟨 2 | Premier League |
| 27 Nov 2016 | Stoke(H) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | 🟨 3🟥 1 | Premier League |
| 21 Nov 2015 | Man United(H) | 1 - 2 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | Premier League |
| 12 Sept 2015 | Swansea(H) | 1 - 0 | WIN | 🟨 1🟥 1 | Premier League |
| 1 Nov 2014 | Millwall(H) | 3 - 1 | WIN | 🟨 1 | Championship |
| 24 Sept 2011 | Nott'm Forest(H) | 0 - 1 | LOSS | — | Championship |
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Watford
Cards for Opponents
Betting Outlook
TIPSTER INSIGHTRED CARD RISK
Red card frequency: 0.18 per game
Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.
⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.
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