What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for R Madley →•View All Referees for Carlisle →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

R MadleyvsCarlisle

Analysis based on 5 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When R Madley officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a favorable pattern. Based on 5 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 60% win rate under R Madley, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 15.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+15.0%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +15.0%, Carlisle has historically performed 15 percentage points better under R Madley than their average. This favorable pattern across 5 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+15.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

5 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
22 Mar 2025	Bromley(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 4	League Two
19 Mar 2022	Barrow(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	League Two
21 Aug 2021	Leyton Orient(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	League Two
28 Jan 2012	Hartlepool(A)	0 - 4	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
19 Mar 2011	Bournemouth(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 4	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)60.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+15.0%

Cards for Carlisle

🟨 Yellows / Game2.40

🟥 Reds / Game0.20

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game2.80

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.2 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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