What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for R Joyce →•View All Referees for Burton →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

R JoycevsBurton

Analysis based on 12 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When R Joyce officiates Burton matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 12 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Burton achieves a 8.3% win rate under R Joyce, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 36.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-36.7%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -36.7%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 12 matches, Burton has won 37 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when R Joyce is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-36.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

12 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
4 Nov 2025	Rotherham(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 3	League One
4 Jan 2025	Northampton(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
9 Mar 2024	Peterboro(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
24 Oct 2023	Carlisle(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3	League One
6 Aug 2022	Bristol Rvs(H)	0 - 4	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
2 Apr 2022	Morecambe(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
18 Sept 2021	Crewe(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
20 Mar 2021	Milton Keynes Dons(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3	League One
3 Aug 2019	Ipswich(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
27 Nov 2018	Charlton(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	—	League One
2 Apr 2016	Bury(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
8 Feb 2014	Morecambe(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)8.3%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-36.7%

Cards for Burton

🟨 Yellows / Game1.75

🟥 Reds / Game0.42

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.17

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.42 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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