What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for R Jones →•View All Referees for Man City →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

R JonesvsMan City

Analysis based on 9 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When R Jones officiates Man City matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 9 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Man City achieves a 88.9% win rate under R Jones, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 43.9 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+43.9%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +43.9%, Man City has historically performed 44 percentage points better under R Jones than their average. This favorable pattern across 9 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+43.9%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

9 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
27 Dec 2025	Nott'm Forest(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 2	Premier League
27 Sept 2025	Burnley(H)	5 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	Premier League
7 Dec 2024	Crystal Palace(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟥 1	Premier League
21 Oct 2023	Brighton(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	Premier League
19 Aug 2023	Newcastle(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	Premier League
8 Apr 2023	Southampton(A)	4 - 1	WIN	🟨 2	Premier League
11 Mar 2023	Crystal Palace(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	Premier League
12 Feb 2023	Aston Villa(H)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	Premier League
29 Oct 2022	Leicester(A)	1 - 0	WIN	—	Premier League

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)88.9%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+43.9%

Cards for Man City

🟨 Yellows / Game1.22

🟥 Reds / Game0.22

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.78

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.22 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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