What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for M Salisbury →•View All Referees for Exeter →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

M SalisburyvsExeter

Analysis based on 5 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When M Salisbury officiates Exeter matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 5 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Exeter achieves a 80% win rate under M Salisbury, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 35.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+35.0%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +35.0%, Exeter has historically performed 35 percentage points better under M Salisbury than their average. This favorable pattern across 5 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+35.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

5 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
2 Nov 2019	Bradford(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟥 2	League Two
26 Jan 2019	Cambridge(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
22 Sept 2018	Cheltenham(H)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
2 Jan 2017	Leyton Orient(H)	4 - 0	WIN	—	League Two
15 Oct 2016	Barnet(A)	4 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)80.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+35.0%

Cards for Exeter

🟨 Yellows / Game0.80

🟥 Reds / Game0.40

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.20

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.20

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.4 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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