What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for M Jones →•View All Referees for Reading →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

M JonesvsReading

Analysis based on 19 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When M Jones officiates Reading matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 19 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Reading achieves a 26.3% win rate under M Jones, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 18.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-18.7%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -18.7%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 19 matches, Reading has won 19 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when M Jones is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-18.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

19 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
20 Aug 2016	Brighton(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	Championship
13 Sept 2014	Fulham(H)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
15 Mar 2014	Derby(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	Championship
5 Oct 2013	Burnley(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	Championship
17 Aug 2013	Watford(H)	3 - 3	DRAW	🟨 2	Championship
6 Apr 2013	Southampton(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	—	Premier League
26 Dec 2012	Swansea(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	Premier League
27 Oct 2012	Fulham(H)	3 - 3	DRAW	🟨 1	Premier League
7 Feb 2009	Preston(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	Championship
4 Mar 2006	Burnley(A)	3 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
3 Dec 2005	Luton(H)	3 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
2 Apr 2005	Sheffield United(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	—	Championship
15 Jan 2005	Burnley(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	Championship
28 Sept 2004	Ipswich(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	Championship
2 Mar 2004	Preston(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
15 Nov 2003	Millwall(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	Championship
30 Aug 2003	Wimbledon(A)	3 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
2 Feb 2002	Bury(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
17 Feb 2001	Peterboro(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)26.3%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-18.7%

Cards for Reading

🟨 Yellows / Game1.16

🟥 Reds / Game0.16

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.21

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.05

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.16 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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