What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for M Jones →•View All Referees for Millwall →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

M JonesvsMillwall

Analysis based on 11 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When M Jones officiates Millwall matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 11 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Millwall achieves a 18.2% win rate under M Jones, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 26.8 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-26.8%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -26.8%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 11 matches, Millwall has won 27 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when M Jones is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-26.8%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

11 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
7 Feb 2015	Huddersfield(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 3	Championship
4 Feb 2012	West Ham(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 4	Championship
19 Dec 2009	Charlton(A)	4 - 4	DRAW	🟨 3🟥 1	League One
22 Mar 2008	Oldham(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
10 Sept 2005	Preston(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 4	Championship
22 Feb 2005	Cardiff(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 1🟥 2	Championship
16 Oct 2004	Sunderland(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	Championship
24 Mar 2004	Wimbledon(A)	1 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
15 Nov 2003	Reading(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 3	Championship
16 Mar 2001	Bristol City(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟥 2	League One
21 Oct 2000	Stoke(A)	2 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)18.2%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-26.8%

Cards for Millwall

🟨 Yellows / Game2.00

🟥 Reds / Game0.45

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.73

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.45

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.45 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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