What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for M Jones →•View All Referees for Bristol City →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

M JonesvsBristol City

Analysis based on 11 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When M Jones officiates Bristol City matches, the statistics reveal a favorable pattern. Based on 11 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Bristol City achieves a 63.6% win rate under M Jones, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 18.6 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+18.6%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +18.6%, Bristol City has historically performed 19 percentage points better under M Jones than their average. This favorable pattern across 11 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+18.6%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

11 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
4 Nov 2017	Cardiff(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	Championship
17 Apr 2017	Blackburn(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 3	Championship
6 Feb 2016	Charlton(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	Championship
25 Aug 2007	Scunthorpe(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	Championship
7 Apr 2007	Swansea(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
29 Aug 2006	Northampton(A)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
18 Feb 2006	Bradford(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
21 Jan 2006	Blackpool(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
17 Feb 2004	Grimsby(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League One
16 Mar 2001	Millwall(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 2🟥 2	League One
30 Sept 2000	Oxford(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)63.6%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+18.6%

Cards for Bristol City

🟨 Yellows / Game2.09

🟥 Reds / Game0.36

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.82

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.27

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.36 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.