What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for M Clattenburg →•View All Referees for Carlisle →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

M ClattenburgvsCarlisle

Analysis based on 5 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When M Clattenburg officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 5 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 0% win rate under M Clattenburg, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 45.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-45.0%

Matches Analyzed

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Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -45.0%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 5 matches, Carlisle has won 45 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when M Clattenburg is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-45.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

5 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
3 Sept 2011	Milton Keynes Dons(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
3 May 2003	Bournemouth(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	—	League Two
14 Dec 2002	Wrexham(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
10 Nov 2001	Mansfield(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
11 Aug 2001	Luton(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)0.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-45.0%

Cards for Carlisle

🟨 Yellows / Game1.60

🟥 Reds / Game0.40

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game2.00

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.4 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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