L SwabeyvsCarlisle
Analysis based on 7 matches since 2000
* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.
When L Swabey officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 7 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 14.3% win rate under L Swabey, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 30.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.
🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED
This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.
Notable Negative Pattern
With a bias score of -30.7%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 7 matches, Carlisle has won 31 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when L Swabey is appointed.
The Bias Meter™
Match History
7 matches under this referee
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result | Cards | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2022 | Colchester(A) | 2 - 2 | DRAW | 🟨 3 | League Two |
| 13 Apr 2021 | Newport County(A) | 0 - 0 | DRAW | 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 12 Jan 2019 | Northampton(A) | 0 - 3 | LOSS | 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 9 Dec 2017 | Newport County(A) | 3 - 3 | DRAW | — | League Two |
| 7 Jan 2017 | Colchester(A) | 1 - 4 | LOSS | 🟨 1 | League Two |
| 24 Nov 2015 | Luton(A) | 4 - 3 | WIN | 🟨 2 | League Two |
| 8 Aug 2015 | Mansfield(A) | 1 - 1 | DRAW | 🟨 1 | League Two |
Frequently Asked Questions
Detailed Statistics
Cards for Carlisle
Cards for Opponents
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