What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for L Swabey →•View All Referees for Accrington →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

L SwabeyvsAccrington

Analysis based on 10 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When L Swabey officiates Accrington matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 10 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Accrington achieves a 30% win rate under L Swabey, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 15.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-15.0%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -15.0%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 10 matches, Accrington has won 15 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when L Swabey is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-15.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

10 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
18 Apr 2025	Salford(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	League Two
7 Mar 2023	Ipswich(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
24 Sept 2022	Bristol Rvs(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	League One
19 Feb 2022	Cambridge(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
14 Sept 2019	Sunderland(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
23 Mar 2019	Burton(A)	2 - 5	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
24 Apr 2018	Newport County(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
14 Jan 2017	Cheltenham(A)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
20 Feb 2016	Oxford(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟥 1	League Two
22 Aug 2015	Notts County(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)30.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-15.0%

Cards for Accrington

🟨 Yellows / Game1.50

🟥 Reds / Game0.30

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.50

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.10

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.3 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.