What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for L Probert →•View All Referees for Millwall →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

L ProbertvsMillwall

Analysis based on 9 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When L Probert officiates Millwall matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 9 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Millwall achieves a 11.1% win rate under L Probert, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 33.9 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-33.9%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -33.9%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 9 matches, Millwall has won 34 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when L Probert is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-33.9%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

9 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
14 Oct 2017	Brentford(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	Championship
1 Oct 2016	Walsall(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	—	League One
27 Aug 2016	Chesterfield(A)	3 - 1	WIN	🟨 2	League One
28 Jan 2014	Sheffield Weds(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	Championship
24 Mar 2012	Leeds(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2	Championship
28 Sept 2010	QPR(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	Championship
8 Aug 2006	Leyton Orient(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3🟥 1	League One
14 Feb 2006	Hull(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
10 Aug 2004	Wigan(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	Championship

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)11.1%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-33.9%

Cards for Millwall

🟨 Yellows / Game1.44

🟥 Reds / Game0.33

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.11

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.11

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.33 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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