What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for L Probert →•View All Referees for Cheltenham →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

L ProbertvsCheltenham

Analysis based on 8 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When L Probert officiates Cheltenham matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 8 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Cheltenham achieves a 12.5% win rate under L Probert, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 32.5 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-32.5%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -32.5%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 8 matches, Cheltenham has won 33 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when L Probert is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-32.5%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

8 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
6 Aug 2016	Leyton Orient(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
17 Jan 2009	Colchester(A)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
25 Nov 2007	Leeds(H)	1 - 0	WIN	—	League One
17 Apr 2006	Darlington(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	League Two
14 Oct 2005	Grimsby(H)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 3	League Two
1 Jan 2005	Notts County(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	—	League Two
10 Apr 2004	Yeovil(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	—	League Two
20 Sept 2003	Cambridge(H)	0 - 3	LOSS	🟨 4	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)12.5%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-32.5%

Cards for Cheltenham

🟨 Yellows / Game1.38

🟥 Reds / Game0.25

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game0.88

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.13

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.25 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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