What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for K Stroud →•View All Referees for Northampton →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

K StroudvsNorthampton

Analysis based on 12 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When K Stroud officiates Northampton matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 12 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Northampton achieves a 25% win rate under K Stroud, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 20.0 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-20.0%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -20.0%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 12 matches, Northampton has won 20 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when K Stroud is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-20.0%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

12 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
26 Mar 2022	Hartlepool(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
5 May 2018	Oldham(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
12 Jan 2016	Plymouth(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 5	League Two
29 Nov 2014	Southend(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3🟥 1	League Two
28 Apr 2012	Gillingham(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 3	League Two
22 Apr 2011	Rotherham(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
14 Nov 2009	Grimsby(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	League Two
28 Apr 2009	Milton Keynes Dons(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
13 Sept 2008	Peterboro(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
24 Mar 2007	Swansea(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
19 Mar 2005	Swansea(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
11 Dec 2004	Boston(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 3	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)25.0%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-20.0%

Cards for Northampton

🟨 Yellows / Game2.08

🟥 Reds / Game0.25

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game2.08

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.08

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.25 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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