What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for J Simpson →•View All Referees for Aston Villa →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

J SimpsonvsAston Villa

Analysis based on 6 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When J Simpson officiates Aston Villa matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 6 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Aston Villa achieves a 83.3% win rate under J Simpson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 38.3 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+38.3%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +38.3%, Aston Villa has historically performed 38 percentage points better under J Simpson than their average. This favorable pattern across 6 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+38.3%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

6 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
11 Aug 2018	Wigan(H)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
10 Apr 2018	Cardiff(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 4	Championship
30 Jan 2018	Sheffield United(A)	1 - 0	WIN	—	Championship
30 Sept 2017	Bolton(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
19 Aug 2017	Norwich(H)	4 - 2	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
14 Sept 2016	Brentford(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	Championship

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)83.3%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+38.3%

Cards for Aston Villa

🟨 Yellows / Game1.50

🟥 Reds / Game0.17

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game3.17

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.17 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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