What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for G Ward →•View All Referees for Nott'm Forest →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

G WardvsNott'm Forest

Analysis based on 11 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When G Ward officiates Nott'm Forest matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 11 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Nott'm Forest achieves a 27.3% win rate under G Ward, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 17.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-17.7%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -17.7%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 11 matches, Nott'm Forest has won 18 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when G Ward is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-17.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

11 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
9 Apr 2022	Birmingham(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
30 Dec 2021	Huddersfield(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	Championship
26 Nov 2021	West Brom(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	Championship
18 Aug 2021	Blackburn(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
2 Apr 2021	Cardiff(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	Championship
5 Dec 2020	Reading(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	Championship
22 Jul 2020	Stoke(H)	1 - 4	LOSS	—	Championship
2 Nov 2019	Luton(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
22 Dec 2018	QPR(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 3	Championship
17 Apr 2012	Reading(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 2	Championship
15 Sept 2009	Ipswich(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 4	Championship

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)27.3%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-17.7%

Cards for Nott'm Forest

🟨 Yellows / Game1.73

🟥 Reds / Game0.18

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.64

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.18

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.18 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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