What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for E Ilderton →•View All Referees for Chesterfield →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

E IldertonvsChesterfield

Analysis based on 17 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When E Ilderton officiates Chesterfield matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 17 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Chesterfield achieves a 29.4% win rate under E Ilderton, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 15.6 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-15.6%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -15.6%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 17 matches, Chesterfield has won 16 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when E Ilderton is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-15.6%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

17 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
5 Aug 2017	Grimsby(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
1 Apr 2017	Bolton(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League One
21 Jan 2017	AFC Wimbledon(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
1 Mar 2016	Blackpool(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	League One
17 Feb 2015	Scunthorpe(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
13 Dec 2014	Bradford(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
12 Apr 2014	Hartlepool(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
14 Sept 2013	AFC Wimbledon(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
14 Feb 2012	Bury(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	League One
15 Oct 2011	Notts County(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	—	League One
3 Oct 2009	Accrington(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
5 Jan 2008	Grimsby(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
5 May 2007	Oldham(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
9 Dec 2006	Oldham(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 1	League One
15 Apr 2006	Colchester(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	—	League One
7 Aug 2004	Brentford(H)	3 - 1	WIN	—	League One
28 Dec 2002	Cheltenham(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)29.4%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-15.6%

Cards for Chesterfield

🟨 Yellows / Game1.00

🟥 Reds / Game0.18

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.12

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.12

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.18 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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