What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

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🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

D BondvsCarlisle

Analysis based on 7 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When D Bond officiates Carlisle matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 7 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Carlisle achieves a 71.4% win rate under D Bond, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 26.4 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+26.4%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +26.4%, Carlisle has historically performed 26 percentage points better under D Bond than their average. This favorable pattern across 7 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+26.4%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

7 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
15 Jan 2022	Crawley Town(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two
15 Oct 2016	Hartlepool(H)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 1🟥 1	League Two
5 Apr 2016	Hartlepool(H)	1 - 0	WIN	—	League Two
19 Dec 2015	Notts County(H)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	League Two
4 Oct 2014	Hartlepool(A)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
21 Dec 2013	Walsall(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3🟥 1	League One
14 Sept 2013	Sheffield United(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 4	League One

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)71.4%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+26.4%

Cards for Carlisle

🟨 Yellows / Game1.86

🟥 Reds / Game0.29

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.57

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.29 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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