What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for C Sarginson →•View All Referees for Rochdale →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

C SarginsonvsRochdale

Analysis based on 14 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When C Sarginson officiates Rochdale matches, the statistics reveal a notable negative pattern. Based on 14 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Rochdale achieves a 28.6% win rate under C Sarginson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 16.4 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

⚠️POTENTIAL BIAS

⚠️ POTENTIAL BIAS DETECTED

This team performs notably worse under this referee compared to their overall average.

Bias Score

-16.4%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -16.4%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 14 matches, Rochdale has won 16 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when C Sarginson is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-16.4%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

14 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
15 Mar 2022	Salford(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
22 Feb 2020	Coventry(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 3	League One
7 Dec 2019	Rotherham(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League One
9 Apr 2019	Accrington(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 3	League One
23 Feb 2019	Plymouth(A)	1 - 5	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
13 Feb 2018	Bristol Rvs(A)	2 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	League One
30 Sept 2017	AFC Wimbledon(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League One
25 Feb 2017	Peterboro(A)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 2	League One
27 Aug 2016	AFC Wimbledon(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	League One
21 Mar 2015	Scunthorpe(H)	3 - 1	WIN	—	League One
17 Dec 2011	Yeovil(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
23 Feb 2010	Bradford(H)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
14 Feb 2009	Macclesfield(A)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
10 Oct 2008	Lincoln(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)28.6%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-16.4%

Cards for Rochdale

🟨 Yellows / Game1.64

🟥 Reds / Game0.29

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.14

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.14

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.29 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.