What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for C Sarginson →•View All Referees for Lincoln →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

C SarginsonvsLincoln

Analysis based on 8 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When C Sarginson officiates Lincoln matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 8 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Lincoln achieves a 12.5% win rate under C Sarginson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 32.5 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-32.5%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -32.5%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 8 matches, Lincoln has won 33 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when C Sarginson is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-32.5%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

8 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
1 Jan 2020	Peterboro(H)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 4	League One
7 Sept 2019	Wycombe(A)	1 - 3	LOSS	🟨 1	League One
26 Dec 2018	Crewe(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 4	League Two
21 Oct 2017	Cheltenham(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
15 Mar 2011	Macclesfield(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 3🟥 1	League Two
30 Oct 2010	Wycombe(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two
14 Mar 2009	Bury(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
10 Oct 2008	Rochdale(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)12.5%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-32.5%

Cards for Lincoln

🟨 Yellows / Game2.25

🟥 Reds / Game0.25

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game2.00

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.13

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.25 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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