What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for C Sarginson →•View All Referees for Grimsby →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

C SarginsonvsGrimsby

Analysis based on 11 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When C Sarginson officiates Grimsby matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 11 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Grimsby achieves a 18.2% win rate under C Sarginson, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 26.8 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-26.8%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -26.8%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 11 matches, Grimsby has won 27 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when C Sarginson is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-26.8%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

11 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
9 Mar 2021	Carlisle(A)	1 - 1	DRAW	🟨 1	League Two
17 Sept 2019	Salford(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two
19 Apr 2019	Colchester(A)	0 - 1	LOSS	🟨 3🟥 1	League Two
29 Dec 2018	Exeter(A)	2 - 1	WIN	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
29 Sept 2018	Morecambe(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
2 Apr 2018	Wycombe(A)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
23 Dec 2017	Luton(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
2 Sept 2017	Crewe(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
1 Oct 2016	Hartlepool(H)	0 - 3	LOSS	—	League Two
24 Feb 2009	Morecambe(H)	2 - 3	LOSS	🟥 1	League Two
31 Jan 2009	Bradford(A)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)18.2%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-26.8%

Cards for Grimsby

🟨 Yellows / Game1.45

🟥 Reds / Game0.36

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.18

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.36 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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