What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for C Breakspear →•View All Referees for Leyton Orient →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

C BreakspearvsLeyton Orient

Analysis based on 13 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When C Breakspear officiates Leyton Orient matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 13 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Leyton Orient achieves a 15.4% win rate under C Breakspear, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 29.6 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-29.6%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -29.6%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 13 matches, Leyton Orient has won 30 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when C Breakspear is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-29.6%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

13 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
8 Apr 2025	Mansfield(A)	3 - 2	WIN	🟨 2	League One
10 Aug 2024	Bolton(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 4	League One
23 Dec 2023	Bolton(A)	2 - 3	LOSS	🟨 4	League One
28 Oct 2023	Burton(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	League One
27 Dec 2022	Stevenage(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 2	League Two
25 Oct 2022	Gillingham(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	League Two
22 Feb 2022	Bristol Rvs(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 4	League Two
6 Mar 2021	Exeter(A)	0 - 4	LOSS	🟨 4	League Two
1 Apr 2017	Wycombe(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2🟥 1	League Two
28 Feb 2017	Stevenage(A)	1 - 4	LOSS	🟨 2	League Two
27 Sept 2016	Plymouth(H)	0 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1🟥 2	League Two
5 Mar 2016	Luton(H)	0 - 1	LOSS	—	League Two
29 Sept 2015	Carlisle(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 1	League Two

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)15.4%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-29.6%

Cards for Leyton Orient

🟨 Yellows / Game2.23

🟥 Reds / Game0.23

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.46

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

💰

Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.23 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Share This Analysis

Think your mates need to see this? Share the evidence.