What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for A Penn →•View All Referees for Watford →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis

A PennvsWatford

Analysis based on 6 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When A Penn officiates Watford matches, the statistics reveal a significantly positive pattern. Based on 6 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Watford achieves a 66.7% win rate under A Penn, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This positive 21.7 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

✅FAVORABLE RECORD

✅ FAVORABLE RECORD

This team has an above-average win rate when this referee officiates.

Bias Score

+21.7%

Matches Analyzed

✅

Favorable Pattern Detected

With a bias score of +21.7%, Watford has historically performed 22 percentage points better under A Penn than their average. This favorable pattern across 6 matches could be valuable information for match predictions and betting strategies.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level+21.7%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

6 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
9 Nov 2010	Crystal Palace(A)	2 - 3	LOSS	—	Championship
7 Dec 2009	QPR(H)	3 - 1	WIN	—	Championship
7 Mar 2009	Charlton(A)	3 - 2	WIN	—	Championship
22 Nov 2008	QPR(H)	3 - 0	WIN	🟨 1	Championship
12 Feb 2008	Leicester(H)	1 - 0	WIN	🟥 1	Championship
28 Sept 2004	Wigan(H)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 1	Championship

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)66.7%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score+21.7%

Cards for Watford

🟨 Yellows / Game0.33

🟥 Reds / Game0.17

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.50

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.17

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

🟥

RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.17 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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