What is the Bias Score and how is it calculated?

The Bias Score compares a team's win rate under a specific referee to their baseline win rate (45%). A negative score suggests the team performs worse than average under that referee.

What sample size is considered reliable?

We recommend at least 5 games for initial patterns and 10+ games for high confidence.

← Back to Home•View All Teams for A Holmes →•View All Referees for Southport →

🧑‍⚖️ Referee Analysis⚠️ BIAS DETECTED

A HolmesvsSouthport

Analysis based on 9 matches since 2000

* Note: Detailed card statistics for matches before 2005 may be incomplete.

Wins

Draws

Losses

When A Holmes officiates Southport matches, the statistics reveal a severe negative pattern. Based on 9 matches spanning multiple seasons, our comprehensive analysis shows Southport achieves a 22.2% win rate under A Holmes, compared to the 45% baseline expected for teams at this level. This negative 22.8 percentage point difference suggests a meaningful pattern worth examining. The data includes detailed card statistics, match outcomes, and historical trends to provide football fans, bettors, and analysts with evidence-based insights into this referee-team dynamic.

🚨STRONG BIAS DETECTED

🚨 STRONG BIAS DETECTED

This referee has a significantly negative history with this team. Win rate is severely below average.

Bias Score

-22.8%

Matches Analyzed

⚠️

Notable Negative Pattern

With a bias score of -22.8%, this ranks among the more significant negative patterns in our database. Over 9 matches, Southport has won 23 percentage points fewer games than expected. For bettors and fantasy managers, this historical trend suggests extra caution when A Holmes is appointed.

The Bias Meter™

Bias Level-22.8%

Bias AgainstNeutralFavorable

Match History

9 matches under this referee

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Cards	Division
23 Jan 2016	Chester(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 3	EC
13 Oct 2015	Chester(H)	1 - 2	LOSS	🟨 2	EC
14 Feb 2015	Macclesfield(H)	1 - 1	DRAW	—	EC
4 Oct 2014	Woking(H)	2 - 5	LOSS	🟨 1	EC
18 Apr 2014	Gateshead(A)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 4🟥 1	EC
27 Mar 2014	Forest Green(H)	2 - 0	WIN	🟨 2	EC
8 Feb 2014	Grimsby(A)	0 - 0	DRAW	🟨 3	EC
2 Nov 2013	Cambridge(H)	1 - 0	WIN	—	EC
14 Sept 2013	Welling United(H)	2 - 2	DRAW	🟨 1🟥 1	EC

Frequently Asked Questions

Detailed Statistics

Win Rate (Under Ref)22.2%

Baseline Win Rate45%

Bias Score-22.8%

Cards for Southport

🟨 Yellows / Game1.78

🟥 Reds / Game0.22

Cards for Opponents

🟨 Opp Yellows / Game1.00

🟥 Opp Reds / Game0.00

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Betting Outlook

TIPSTER INSIGHT

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RED CARD RISK

Red card frequency: 0.22 per game

Higher than average dismissal rate in this matchup.

⚠️ This is statistical analysis, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

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